Southern Miss.
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
116  Stephanie Ledgerwood SR 20:06
955  Krista Moylan SR 21:31
977  Felice Johnson FR 21:32
1,285  Jocelyn Lockhart SR 21:53
2,773  Kara Moylan SR 23:37
National Rank #111 of 339
South Region Rank #10 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 99.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Stephanie Ledgerwood Krista Moylan Felice Johnson Jocelyn Lockhart Kara Moylan
FSU Invitational 10/05 1116 20:06 21:20 22:14 21:32 24:03
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 1144 20:02 21:56 21:49 22:33 24:34
Conference USA Championships 10/29 1092 20:07 21:36 21:14 21:53 23:22
South Region Championships 11/09 1103 20:18 21:19 21:14 21:48 23:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.1 500 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.2 8.3 15.5 28.1 29.2 9.9 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephanie Ledgerwood 68.5% 96.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephanie Ledgerwood 9.5 0.1 0.7 1.5 3.9 5.2 7.6 8.7 8.4 9.4 8.6 7.2 6.7 5.9 5.0 4.3 3.3 3.1 2.3 1.5 1.4 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.5
Krista Moylan 84.6
Felice Johnson 86.6
Jocelyn Lockhart 109.5
Kara Moylan 207.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 1.2% 1.2 12
13 3.2% 3.2 13
14 8.3% 8.3 14
15 15.5% 15.5 15
16 28.1% 28.1 16
17 29.2% 29.2 17
18 9.9% 9.9 18
19 2.9% 2.9 19
20 0.9% 0.9 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0